Ferrari have been the nearest challengers to Mercedes through the season opener and round two. The question now is simple, and a little blunt: can they turn those strong starts into a full race win in Japan?
Quick recap: Australia and China
Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton both produced electric getaway launches in Australia and China, each time slicing past the front-row Mercedes duo of George Russell and Kimi Antonelli to start intense close racing. Those opening laps delivered plenty of excitement for fans who like wheel-to-wheel action.
However, when the races stretched out, Mercedes showed its strength. The W17 had better race pace and control, converting both weekends into one-two finishes. Ferrari followed with consistent three-four results on both occasions, which is encouraging but not quite a trophy.
Why Mercedes still looks stronger
- Race pace: Over a full distance the Mercedes has been able to maintain speed and pull away.
- Management: Strategy and tyre life have favoured the W17 in those longer stints.
- Consistency: Mercedes has translated strong weekends into wins, while Ferrari has not yet closed the final gap.
What Ferrari needs to do in Japan
- Convert those explosive starts into race control, not just early drama.
- Keep tyre degradation and strategy in check for the full distance.
- Find the small performance margins that turn a three-four into a one-two or a win and a points swing.
Ferrari have not taken a grand prix victory since Carlos Sainz won in Mexico City in 2024. That drought is part of the backdrop as the paddock heads to Japan. If the team can combine its quick starts with stronger race management, this weekend could be their chance.
What do you think? Will the Scuderia break the run in Japan or will Mercedes keep control? Feel free to vote in the poll and share your take. There are also podcasts and race previews discussing these questions if you prefer discussion over debate.
