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The Cambridge academic said the Houthi attack on Israel showed the group may be willing to follow through on its threats, including disrupting the Bab al-Mandeb strait.
Iran says Washington is quietly preparing a ground assault while talking about negotiations in public, as the month-old war spreads across the region and back-channel diplomacy struggles to catch up.
An Iranian missile and drone barrage hit Prince Sultan air base in Saudi Arabia, wounding U.S. service members and damaging aircraft. The strikes come amid a wider flare up across the region, with attacks near Iran’s Bushehr nuclear plant, strikes on the UAE, and the first Houthi claim of a strike on Israel.
Tehran warns it could expand pressure beyond the Strait of Hormuz to Bab el-Mandab, raising the stakes for global shipping and complicating any US response.